My blog has moved!

You should be automatically redirected in 6 seconds. If not, visit
http://www.loukrieger.com
and update your links and bookmarks.

Lou Krieger Poker Blog

Lou Krieger has come a long way in the poker world. Well known as the co-author of Poker for Dummies, Lou has also written 11 best-selling books and more than 400 columns and magazine articles of poker strategy, and is the editor of Poker Player Newspaper. Catch Lou’s views, opinions and commentary on just about everything in the world of poker. Join Lou every Thursday at 9:00 PM ET on www.roundersradio.com, where he hosts the webcast show, "Keep Flopping Aces."

Monday, December 28, 2009

Another Day, Another Decade


Seems like the Millennium was only yesterday, when we watched televised celebrations from one time zone to another before it reached California. The New Year’s Eve Party I attended turned into a poker game at the stroke of twelve—the first poker game of the new century.

Sometime after midnight we checked the computer to see if those dire Y2K warnings were true. But we were all still here, alive and well, and able to log on to the internet, and all seemed right with the world.

I never envisioned how poker would change in just one short decade. Online poker was in its infancy at the Millennium’s precipice, and most of the cyber games were fixed-limit hold’em cash games, just as you’d find in brick-and-mortar casinos. The World Series of Poker had crossed a threshold just three years before, when they cracked the 300-player barrier for the main event for the first time. From 1970, when the first WSOP was played, it took 27 years until 300 players entered the main event.

Who could have predicted that only a few short years later more than 25 times that number would enter the main event—most winning their way into the big dance via online satellites. And when Chris Moneymaker came from the ranks of the $40 entry fee online satellite winners to capture the WSOP’s main event, he changed the game forever.

It didn’t hurt the WSOP’s growth one iota when it migrated from Binions to the Rio, and grew from a funky, hip-pocket event to a managed, merchandised, and programmed affair the equal of any other big-time sporting event on TV.

The internet poker boom led directly to the growth of the WSOP, and the WSOP, in turn, fueled the growth of online poker. People played online so they could win entry into the WSOP’s main event, and then played the main event to gain a reputation and bankroll to use online. One fed the other in a continuous spiral that didn’t stop until the hubris of one failed presidential hopeful attached a bill to a must-pass piece of port security legislation that was passed with no debate and little understanding in the dead of night.

The Unlawful Internet Gaming Enforcement Act (UIGEA), pushed by Bill Frist to secure support from the religious right for his failed candidacy, ultimately wasn’t worth the effort. After Frist announced his presidential aspirations to the press and public, the inevitable scrutiny of his public record rendered his candidacy untenable, and all his efforts went for naught—except for making it very difficult to move money back and forth between players’ bank accounts and online gaming sites.

While it slowed the growth of the WSOP’s main event, online poker still thrived. By the decade’s midpoint, television changed the face of poker changed. All the action was no-limit, and no longer did players learn fixed-limit first. They played no-limit from the get-go, and younger players—some were too young to vote, buy a beer, or legally enter a casino—were winning big money and playing online for stakes far exceeding anything anyone ever imagined.

While I suppose incredibly wealthy folks occasionally won or lost a million bucks in an evening in years past, wins and losses in multi-million dollar amounts—by 20-something players, not uber-rich oil potentates—became fairly commonplace at the “nosebleed stakes” games on Full Tilt Poker.

It amounted to a world of change in a decade—change no one really saw coming. And while I’m looking at the second decade of this century as one where major land-based casinos like Harrah’s get in on the online poker action once UIGEA is scuttled, I also I expect to be shocked at all the unpredictable ways poker will have changed ten years hence when I look back at this decade too.
Happy New Year one and all...

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

2010 WSOP Schedule Highlights


The 41st annual World Series of Poker returns Thursday, May 27, 2010 and runs through July 17, 2010, when it goes on hiatus until November 6 – 9, when this year’s November Nine meet to decide the main event winner.

Fifty-seven gold bracelets are up for grabs, the same as in 2009. July 4th is the only off day, and will be dedicated to satellite play.

On Friday, May 28, the first open bracelet event will be a new one: a $50,000 buy-in Player’s Championship. Play follows an eight-game format and will replace the HORSE event. Limit Hold’em, Omaha Hi-Low Split-8 or Better, Seven Card Razz, Seven Card Stud, Seven Card Stud Hi-Low Split-8 or Better, No-Limit Hold’em, Pot-Limit Omaha and 2-7 Triple Draw Lowball will be played during the first four days, but the final table will be no-limit hold’em.

ESPN will televise this event. They did not televise last year’s HORSE event, which may be one reason only 95 players signed up for it. After all, not many players want to pony-up $50,000 to enter a poker tournament without even the chance of face time on TV in return.

The opening weekend (May 29-30), features a $1,000 buy-in no-limit hold’em tournament, which last year established a non-main event record of 6,012 entrants. The four-day event includes two starting flights, one each on Saturday and Sunday at 12 noon.

New this year: The first 5 weekends of the series will feature $1,000 buy-in no-limit hold’em tournaments with two starting flights. Those weekends are May 29-30, June 5-6, June 12-13, June 19-20 and June 26-27, and I expect they’ll succeed in emptying out the cardrooms and casinos of southern California as players make the 275 mile jaunt up I-15 to play at the WSOP.

A sixth event on July 1-2, will also offer the same event at the same buy-in level, just days before the Main Event commences.

The Rio's entire convention center will be exclusively dedicated to the 2010 World Series of Poker for the first time, with tournament tables in the 58,000 square foot Pavilion and the 38,000 square foot Amazon Room. The final number of tables in play is subject to regulatory approval, given just prior to the tournament commencing.

Excluding the main event, gold bracelet tournaments will begin at noon and 5 p.m. Pacific Time each day, with a maximum of 10-one hour levels being played for the noon starts, while the 5 p.m. events will play a maximum of 8 one-hour levels.

Day 1 play is expected to conclude at 12:45 a.m. for noon starts and 2:45 a.m. for the 5 p.m. starts. For those advancing past the first day, re-starts for noon bracelet events will be at 2:30 p.m., and 5 p.m. tournaments will restart at 3 p.m., with a maximum of 10 levels played each day until a champion is crowned. The main event features two-hour levels and play begins at 12 noon each day.

Highlights of the 2010 schedule:
• 57 gold bracelet events over 51 days.
Expanded footprint – The giant Pavilion Ballroom (58,000 sq. feet) will be in use this year for poker in the Rio Convention Center. The Pavilion is the largest ballroom at the Rio, and along with the famed Amazon Room (38,000 sq. feet), will make-up the playing rooms for this year’s WSOP. The entire convention space will be used, and about 20 percent more tables will be used.
• No Food Tent – The outdoor food tent will now become an indoor food court. The Miranda Ballroom, last year used as a room for play, will be converted into a food court with a variety of popular food items for players and spectators.
Structures & Starting Chips – Bracelet events will feature triple the buy-in in starting chips and deep structures, providing plenty of play.
• $25,000 6-Handed No-Limit – A new event this year will be a $25,000 buy-in, 6-handed no-limit hold’em 4-day event, beginning Wednesday, June 30 at noon.
• $50,000 Players Championship – The Chip Reese Trophy is up for grabs at the $50,000 buy-in eight-game mixed event, dubbed the Players Championship. It begins Friday, May 28 at 5:00 p.m.
• HORSE – A new $10,000 buy-in HORSE Championship tournament will be offered, to go along with $1,500 and $3,000 buy-ins to the popular game.
Ante Up For Africa Celebrity-Charity Tournament – $5,000 buy-in celebrity and charity tournament on Saturday, July 3, (two days before the Main Event begins).
• June $550 No-Limit Hold’em Tournaments – Every Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday at 1:00 p.m. throughout June, the Rio will host new $550 no-limit hold’em tournaments for those looking for a Hold’em fix. These one-day tournaments are not bracelet events.
• Satellites – from single-table to mega, will be offered beginning from May 27-July 8. Nightly no-limit hold’em tournaments will be offered from May 27-July 4 at 7:00 p.m. and 11:00 p.m.

More information is, and will continue to be available, at www.wsop.com

Has the Isildur1 Party Really Ended?


The party’s over—or is it?

Isildur1, the enigmatic Swede known only by his screen name has been busted or is close to it, and Tom “durrrr” Dwan has retreated to lower stakes to build up his bankroll.

Cole South took the last of Isildur1’s bankroll, though Brian Hastings took the lion’s share of Isildur1’s loot with a $4 million overnight win that we reported on earlier.
But even for the winners, all is not as rosy as it might have been.

Writing for ESPN.com, Gary Wise reported Hastings mentioning that he, Brian Townsend (pictured left), and Cole South shared individual hand histories from play against Isildur1 in order to bone up on his tendencies and gain an edge. In his interview with Gary Wise, Hastings said "we've done quite a bit of studying of his habits … The three of us discussed a ton of hands and the reports that Brian made, so I'm very thankful to him and to Cole as well."
Sharing a hand history database violated Full Tilt Poker’s terms of service, which state: “The use of shared hand histories provides detailed information on opponents a player has little or no personal experience playing against, and is deemed to be an unfair advantage. Violating this policy is subject to the maximum penalties for prohibited software use. Players are not permitted to use the hand histories for hands that they have not personally participated in. Software designed to collect hand history information from games that the player did not participate in is prohibited.”

On his blog, Brian Townsend admitted to merging 20,000 hands he played against Isildur1 with 30,000 “acquired” hands, which he then analyzed and discussed with Hastings and South.
None of the $4 million that Isildur1 lost was been returned, and whether it will be returned to him eventually, is unknown at this time.

This is admittedly a difficult area for sites to police, since there’s no real way to determine if shared data is pooled and collectively studied without an admission on the part of participants. Chess players have “seconds” who accompany them to major events and spend time between matches going over positions, strategies, and likely play of opponents. It’s not considered unethical in the chess world.

Should it be considered an ethical meltdown in poker? I forsee lots of discussion about this in the coming months, and I can't offer any prediction on how it will all turn out. Maybe Full Tilt will have to change its rules on sharing data, especially if it is a term of service that’s unenforceable in the absence of collaborator admitting a violation.

This has yet to play out to its conclusion … so we’ll just have to see how it all winds up.

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Easy Come, Easy Go: Is This the End of Isildur1?


Brian Hastings, (pictured right), took $4.2 million in an overnight-heads-up, high-stakes poker match against Isildur1, nearly breaking him in the process.
Isildur1, the enigmatic Swede—no one knows his real identity for sure—burst onto the online poker scene in a ball of fire about two months ago, winning millions of dollars in a relatively short period of time in heads-up matches against some of the best players in the world, including Phil Ivey, Brian Townsend, Tom “Durrrr” Dwan, Patrik Antonius, and others who regularly play at the nosebleed stakes tables on Full Tilt Poker.

But when you gamble that high, play his style of poker, it’s only a matter of time until the variance swings the other way and you’re busted. While there was lots of speculation as to who would wind up busting Isildur1, no one seemed to light on college student Brian Hastings. But that’s just what happened when Hastings lit up the Swede for $4.2 million in one longish session of heads-up, $500-$1,000 pot-limit Omaha.
No two ways about it, Hastings worked him over completely. When Hastings was thinking of quitting, Isildur1’s frustration was on display in the in the chat window:

Isildur1: u know how lucky u are ?
Brian Hastings: yes i know
Isildur1: i can promise this is the worst
Brian Hastings: ill give you 30 more min if you want
Isildur1: luck anyone had
Brian Hastings: but im rly tired
Isildur1: k 30 mins more
Isildur1: take my last $$
Isildur1: i dont want

Hastings agreed to play an additional half-hour, but actually played nearly an hour longer and took even more money from his opponent.

Isildur1 had a scattered record in his high-stakes games. Most of his winnings—estimated at $5 to $6 million—came from Tom Dwan, with smaller wins against David Benyamine, Haseeb Qureshi, and jungleman12 which were all approximately in the half-million dollar range.
Best estimates had him losing $3 million to Phil Ivey, $2 million to Patrik Antonius, and $1 million to Brian Townsend.

But Isildur1 still had some money because he cashed out against Hastings with $450,000 in hand. When he returned to the tables earlier this week, he dropped down in stakes and lost another $216,000 to Cole South.

So the mystery Swede probably has about a quarter million dollars remaining, and will have to rebuild his bankroll before confronting the high-stakes tables once again.

Meanwhile, the big net loser in the past two month’s action is Tom Dwan, who wound up transferring $6 million through the Swede to Ivey, Antonius, and Townsend. The big winner, of course, is Brian Hastings, courtesy of his $4.2 million overnight haul. Nice work when you can get it.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Harrah's Launches Online Casino for Offshore Players


While lawmakers in the US work on overturning the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act (UIGEA), Harrah's Entertainment launched a new online casino—one that does not accept business from US players.

Their online offering features many of the casino games offered by their land-based casinos, and takes customers from outside the US to play casino games for real cash.

Harrah's wants their online casino up and running in advance of any law changes in the US, and is hoping to be one of the first licensed online casinos in the US, once UIGEA is overturned or rendered redundant.

While lawmakers discuss proposed legislation from Representative Barney Frank that would overturn UIGEA and set up a regulated Internet gambling industry in the US, Harrah’s is positioning itself to get in on the ground floor of a regulated domestic online gaming industry, and they intend to hit the ground running.

Isildur1 Pushes the "Nosebleed" Stakes Even Higher by Winning $3.1 Million in One Night


A couple of months ago, no one had heard of Isildur1, the young Swede known only by a screen name taken from Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings, but now he’s the lightning rod for nosebleed stakes online poker, winning and losing multiple millions of dollars in single night sessions.

In less than a month of online play, Isildur1 was up somewhere between $6 and $8 million, and the nosebleed boys, including Phil Ivey, Tom “durrrr” Dwan, Illari “Ziigmund” Sahamies, Patrik Antonius, Cole South, Brian Townsend and maybe one or two others, were looking to regain their losses. Dwan was the biggest loser, reportedly down about $5 million to the Swede.

During the four-day Thanksgiving weekend things started running straight down for Isildur1, when Finnish pro Patrik Antonius won $1 million from him, and that was just the beginning. On December 1 another Finn, Illari “Ziigmund” Sahamies beat Isildur1 at $500-$1,000 pot-limit Omaha. Then Islidur1 lost to Brian Townsend, broke even against Dwan, but Antonius then took another $1 million from the fast sliding mystery man.

Cole South stepped up to the plate next and racked up a win estimated at between $800,000 and $1 million.

Even with those losses, Isildur1 did not drop down in stakes. Instead, he continued to challenge players to $500-$1,000 stakes even though his bankroll was shrinking fast, and many of the online watchers thought he was broke or close to it.

But he wasn’t done yet, and just a few nights ago the enigmatic Swede turned the table once again, winning $3.1 million from Sahamies, Townsend, and Dwan. He took $790,000 in 1,466 hands from Townsend, and $615,000 from Tom Dwan—who is really on a losing streak of late. When Dwan was done, Ilari Sahamies dropped $252,000 to the Swede in about one-hundred hands. Then they moved up to the $500-$1 000 tables, where Isildur1 beat the Finn for more than $1.6 million. When the dust finally settled, Isildur1 had recovered $3.1 million overnight.

At stakes like these and multi-million dollar session swings, can anyone afford to play this game—knowing full well that poker’s incredibly high variance can wipe anyone of them out in a long, fast night of bad beats? Time will tell … and maybe even tell us who Isildur1 really is.

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Binion's to Close Hotel and Coffee Shop; Casino and POKER ROOM Remain Open


Binion’s, the legendary downtown Las Vegas hotel where the World Series of Poker was born, nurtured, and played for 34 years, will close their hotel rooms, coffee shop, and keno operations in two weeks, as a cost-cutting move.

According to spokeswoman Lisa Robinson of TLC Casino Enterprises Inc., which owns the 58-year-old hotel and casino, "It's the downturn. We had to make some difficult decisions in order to keep the rest of the property operational."The casino will remain open. So will the poker room, sports book and the Binion's Ranch Steakhouse.

But all the hotel rooms will close December 14, and the property will lay-off 100 of their 800-person workforce."This economy has severely affected our operations," said Robinson, adding, "The hotel rooms were just not competitive."

The property had severe financial difficulties after Benny Binion's daughter, Becky Behnen, acquired it in 1998. In January 2004 US marshals seized cash from the casino to pay outstanding employee benefits, throwing the property’s future into doubt.

Harrah's Entertainment Inc. bought the property, kept the Horseshoe and World Series of Poker brands, then sold the casino-hotel to MTR Gaming Group Inc. of Chester, WV. MTR reopened it in April 2004 as Binion's Gambling Hall and Hotel but subsequently sold the hotel and casino to TLC, a Las Vegas based company that owns the Four Queens hotel and casino—located just kitty-corner from Binion’s on Fremont Street.